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Table 1 Estimated frictional parameters without and with prior constraints on the critical nucleation size Rc

From: Data assimilation for fault slip monitoring and short-term prediction of spatio-temporal evolution of slow slip events: application to the 2010 long-term slow slip event in the Bungo Channel, Japan

DA period

A–B (kPa) (s.d.)

A (kPa) (s.d.)

L (mm) (s.d.)

Rc (km)

Without prior constraints on critical nucleation size Rc

 0.5 years

− 191.7 (3.2)

30.7 (4.1)

69.3 (1.1)

13.2

 1.0 year

− 161.5 (8.7 × 10–2)

19.3 (1.7 × 10–1)

55.2 (8.5 × 10–3)

12.1

 1.5 years

− 180.7 (6.1 × 10–2)

39.3 (1.6 × 10–1)

46.1 (1.5 × 10–2)

9.8

 2.0 years

− 116.7 (9.4 × 10–4)

125.2 (8.9 × 10–4)

39.3 (7.7 × 10–5)

21.9

 2.5 yearsa

− 57.3 (3.9 × 10–4)

67.4 (4.3 × 10–4)

51.6 (1.8 × 10–4)

61.6

 3.0 yearsa

− 43.1 (3.1 × 10–4)

77.5 (3.8 × 10–4)

45.9 (1.3 × 10–4)

93.5

 b

− 50.0

100

40.0

75

With prior constraints on critical nucleation size Rc

 0.5 years

− 137.8 (3.6)

355.6 (1.3 × 10+1)

71.8 (2.3)

58.7

 1.0 year

− 78.2 (5.8 × 10–2)

78.3 (1.4 × 10–1)

86.0 (1.2 × 10–2)

69.2

 1.5 years

− 82.1 (4.1 × 10–2)

86.7 (1.2 × 10–1)

57.4 (1.2 × 10–2)

45.2

 2.0 years

− 71.3 (7.5 × 10–4)

105.6 (4.4 × 10–4)

41.1 (5.1 × 10–5)

45.0

 2.5 yearsa

− 57.3 (3.9 × 10–4)

67.4 (4.3 × 10–4)

51.6 (1.8 × 10–4)

61.6

 3.0 yearsa

− 43.1 (3.1 × 10–4)

77.5 (3.8 × 10–4)

45.9 (1.3 × 10–4)

93.5

 b

− 50.0

100

40.0

75

  1. aSame values for both results (with and without prior constraints)
  2. bValues used in Hirahara and Nishikiori (2019)