Fig. 12

Example of LFE activity in a subregion where the IN-type model outperforms the hybrid model. a LFE magnitude–time diagram and cumulative LFE counts in subregion #34. The date of zero is May 24, 2010. b LFE seismicity rates predicted by the IN-type and hybrid models. The lower panel is an enlarged view of the upper panel. c Change in the likelihood of the IN-type and hybrid models due to the occurrence of each event. Spike-shaped sections correspond to LFE occurrence times. Two successive spikes correspond to two successive LFEs, and the curves between them show how the model likelihood changes with the later LFE occurrence time. The actual change in likelihood due to the occurrence of the later LFE can be read from the value that the curves indicate immediately prior to the later spike. The upper left panel is an enlarged view of the lower panel